The record
Every round we publish, graded against the sharp close and the result. Bad rounds stay in.
| Round | Games | graded | avg pick CLV, pts | our line nearer the close | picks won–lost |
|---|
| Round 6 | 10 | 10 | +0.2 | 4/10 | 5–7 |
| Round 7 | 10 | 10 | +0.9 | 5/6 | 2–7 |
| Round 8 | 10 | 10 | +0.5 | 2/9 | 5–6 |
| Round 9 | 10 | 10 | +0.7 | 2/7 | 7–1 |
| Round 10 | 10 | 10 | −0.1 | 3/5 | 5–5 |
| Season | | 50 | +0.4 | 16/37 | 24–26 |
Download the full record (CSV)
Are our chances honest?
Games grouped by the chance we gave our favourite, and how often it actually won. Honest chances land close to the line.
| We said | We said ⌀ | Games | Won |
|---|
| 50–60% | 56% | 16 | 75% |
| 60–70% | 65% | 16 | 69% |
| 70–80% | 75% | 11 | 55% |
| 80–90% | 85% | 6 | 100% |
| 90–100% | 91% | 1 | 100% |